The Biennale of Electronic Arts, Perth (BEAP) is a new media arts festival held every 2 years for 3 months, spanning Perth Western Australia and is widely recognised as the premiere electronic arts event in the Asia Pacific region.
I have to write 10 articles over 10 days and they will be posted on the BEAP and RealTime websites. The Dec/Jan print issue will also have articles published.
So, I may not be posting here for a week or so…but then again I may just have so much exciting stuff to report…
The subject of the Prediction or Bet must be societally or scientifically important.
Predictors and Bettors must provide an argument explaining why the subject of their prediction is important and why they think they will be proved right.
Some bets include:
Paul Hawken predicts: “The Bet: By 2050, we will receive intelligent signals from outside our solar system.”
Nova Spivack predicts: “By 2050 no synthetic computer nor machine intelligence will have become truly self-aware (ie. will become conscious).”
Bob Rosenberg predicts: “By the end of 2012, more than 50% of the root servers on the internet will be located outside the United States.”
I particularly enjoyed the response to Mitchell Kapor’s bet that by ‘2029 no computer – or “machine intelligence” – will have passed the Turing Test’. Ray Kurzweil is heading of the challenger community with 53% disagreeing with Kapor’s prediction. So there is alot of interesting debate on this site, as well as providing a unique insight into the current state of the scientific community and their views of the future.
What is your Long Bet?